Agricultural intensification and childhood cancer in Brazil

Menée à partir de 15 ans de données sur la mortalité par cancer, cette étude analyse l'association entre l'intensification de la production de soja au Brésil, l'exposition de la population aux pesticides et l'incidence des cancers pédiatriques, notamment la leucémie lymphoblastique aiguë

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 120, Numéro 45, Page e2306003120, 2023, article en libre accès

Résumé en anglais

Over the last several decades, Brazil has become both the world’s leading soy producer and the world’s leading consumer of hazardous pesticides. Despite identified links between pesticide exposure and carcinogenesis, there has been little population-level research on the effects of pesticide intensification on broader human health in Brazil. We estimate the relationship between expanded soy production—and related community exposure to pesticides—on childhood cancer incidence using 15 y of data on disease mortality. We find a statistically significant increase in pediatric leukemia following expanded local soy production, but timely access to treatment mitigates this relationship. We show that pesticide exposure likely occurs via water supply penetration. Our findings represent only the tip of the iceberg for substantial health externalities of high-input crop production and land use change. Our results are of particular interest in developing contexts with demand for intensified food production systems and underscore the need for stronger regulation of pesticides and increased public health attention to exposure in the broader community.